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Nasa-funded study: Industrial civilization headed for irreversible collapse

Natural and social scientists develop new model of how ‘perfect storm’ of crises could unravel global system

by Dr Nafeez Ahmed

A new study partly-sponsored by Nasa’s Goddard Space Flight Center has highlighted the prospect that global industrial civilization could collapse in coming decades due to unsustainable resource exploitation and increasingly unequal wealth distribution.
Noting that warnings of ‘collapse’ are often seen to be fringe or controversial, the study attempts to make sense of compelling historical data showing that “the process of rise-and-collapse is actually a recurrent cycle found throughout history.” Cases of severe civilizational disruption due to “precipitous collapse – often lasting centuries – have been quite common.”
The independent research project is based on a new cross-disciplinary ‘Human And Nature DYnamical’ (HANDY) model, led by applied mathematician Safa Motesharrei of the US National Science Foundation-supported National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, in association with a team of natural and social scientists. The HANDY model was created using a minor Nasa grant, but the study based on it was conducted independently. The study based on the HANDY model has been accepted for publication in the peer-reviewed Elsevier journal, Ecological Economics.
It finds that according to the historical record even advanced, complex civilizations are susceptible to collapse, raising questions about the sustainability of modern civilization:
“The fall of the Roman Empire, and the equally (if not more) advanced Han, Mauryan, and Gupta Empires, as well as so many advanced Mesopotamian Empires, are all testimony to the fact that advanced, sophisticated, complex, and creative civilizations can be both fragile and impermanent.”
By investigating the human-nature dynamics of these past cases of collapse, the project identifies the most salient interrelated factors which explain civilizational decline, and which may help determine the risk of collapse today: namely, Population, Climate, Water, Agriculture, and Energy.
These factors can lead to collapse when they converge to generate two crucial social features: “the stretching of resources due to the strain placed on the ecological carrying capacity”; and “the economic stratification of society into Elites [rich] and Masses (or “Commoners”) [poor]” These social phenomena have played “a central role in the character or in the process of the collapse,” in all such cases over “the last five thousand years.”
Currently, high levels of economic stratification are linked directly to overconsumption of resources, with “Elites” based largely in industrialized countries responsible for both:
“… accumulated surplus is not evenly distributed throughout society, but rather has been controlled by an elite. The mass of the population, while producing the wealth, is only allocated a small portion of it by elites, usually at or just above subsistence levels.”
The study challenges those who argue that technology will resolve these challenges by increasing efficiency:
“Technological change can raise the efficiency of resource use, but it also tends to raise both per capita resource consumption and the scale of resource extraction, so that, absent policy effects, the increases in consumption often compensate for the increased efficiency of resource use.”
Productivity increases in agriculture and industry over the last two centuries has come from “increased (rather than decreased) resource throughput,” despite dramatic efficiency gains over the same period.
Modeling a range of different scenarios, Motesharrei and his colleagues conclude that under conditions “closely reflecting the reality of the world today… we find that collapse is difficult to avoid.” In the first of these scenarios, civilization:
“…. appears to be on a sustainable path for quite a long time, but even using an optimal depletion rate and starting with a very small number of Elites, the Elites eventually consume too much, resulting in a famine among Commoners that eventually causes the collapse of society. It is important to note that this Type-L collapse is due to an inequality-induced famine that causes a loss of workers, rather than a collapse of Nature.”
Another scenario focuses on the role of continued resource exploitation, finding that “with a larger depletion rate, the decline of the Commoners occurs faster, while the Elites are still thriving, but eventually the Commoners collapse completely, followed by the Elites.”
In both scenarios, Elite wealth monopolies mean that they are buffered from the most “detrimental effects of the environmental collapse until much later than the Commoners”, allowing them to “continue ‘business as usual’ despite the impending catastrophe.” The same mechanism, they argue, could explain how “historical collapses were allowed to occur by elites who appear to be oblivious to the catastrophic trajectory (most clearly apparent in the Roman and Mayan cases).”
Applying this lesson to our contemporary predicament, the study warns that:
“While some members of society might raise the alarm that the system is moving towards an impending collapse and therefore advocate structural changes to society in order to avoid it, Elites and their supporters, who opposed making these changes, could point to the long sustainable trajectory ‘so far’ in support of doing nothing.”
However, the scientists point out that the worst-case scenarios are by no means inevitable, and suggest that appropriate policy and structural changes could avoid collapse, if not pave the way toward a more stable civilization.
The two key solutions are to reduce economic inequality so as to ensure fairer distribution of resources, and to dramatically reduce resource consumption by relying on less intensive renewable resources and reducing population growth:
“Collapse can be avoided and population can reach equilibrium if the per capita rate of depletion of nature is reduced to a sustainable level, and if resources are distributed in a reasonably equitable fashion.”
The NASA-funded HANDY model offers a highly credible wake-up call to governments, corporations and business – and consumers – to recognize that ‘business as usual’ cannot be sustained, and that policy and structural changes are required immediately.
Although the study based on HANDY is largely theoretical – a ‘thought-experiment’ – a number of other more empirically-focused studies – by KPMG and the UK Government Office of Science for instance – have warned that the convergence of food, water and energy crises could create a ‘perfect storm’ within about fifteen years. But these ‘business as usual’ forecasts could be very conservative.
Dr Nafeez Ahmed is executive director of the Institute for Policy Research & Development and author of A User’s Guide to the Crisis of Civilisation: And How to Save It among other books. Follow him on Twitter @nafeezahmed.
This article was amended on 26 March 2014 to reflect the nature of the study and Nasa’s relationship to it more clearly. The Guardian.

Venezuelan opposition wins the National Assembly

by the El Reportero’s wire services

Venezuela’s opposition party claimed the majority of seats in the National Assembly in elections held Sunday, the first major shift in power in the legislative branch since the late President Hugo Chávez took office in 1999.
The Democratic Unity Roundtable (MUD) took 99 seats to just 46 for the United Social Party of Venezuela (PSUV), Tibisay Lucena, president of Consejo Nacional Electoral announced.
“Venezuela, we won!” said opposition key figure Henrique Capriles, governor of the state of Miranda. “I always told you all, this was the way! Humility, maturity and serenity. Long live the people of Venezuela!”
Venezuelans across the country displayed their participation in the voting by sharing photos of ink-dyed fingers on social media.
The election results are seen as a major setback to the ruling party. This is the first time in 17 years that Chavismo has not won a nationwide election in Venezuela.
Last night, the President of Venezuela and leader of the PSUV Nicolás Maduro called all the people to a national debate to strengthen the Bolivarian Revolution, which suffered its second defeat in 20 elections since 1999.

Experts insisted on new research on Ayotzinapa case
The Interdisciplinary Group of Independent Experts (IMCI) insisted today on opening new lines of investigation into the disappearance of the 43 students of Ayotzinapa.
The experts informed in a statement that they have satellite evidences that the students were not cremated in the dustbin of Cocula, Guerrero, although they did not rule out that it happened elsewhere.
The IMCI criticized to be kept apart from the questioning the Attorney General of the Republic (PGR) conducted to 11 military on the events of September 26, 2014 in Iguala.
The statements in the Ministry of Justice that the PGR took to these soldiers from Battalion 27 of Iguala in the Ayotzinapa case are not valid and must be repeated, considered the IMCI.
“The IMCI has prepared a document with the questions to ask to the 27 military of its initial request”, it adds.
The experts insisted that sure, based on satellite photos, that there was not a fire in the dustbin of Cocula the night of Sept. 26, as shown in the version of the PGR, although they announced they are preparing new material to be sent to fire experts who will carry out a second inspection there.
International experts presented today a second report on their investigation of the Iguala case during a press conference.

Also in Ayotzinapa:
Orbelin Benítez, an alleged member of the criminal group Guerreros Unidos, involved in the forced disappearance of 43 teaching students from Ayotzinapa, was arrested in the Mexican state of Guerrero, report media today.
The suspect was arrested yesterday by members of the Mexican Army and the Federal Police involved in the Operativo Tierra Caliente, informed the Guerrero Coordination Group, said the journal La Jornada.
He was apprehended in front of a building located in the street Tlacotepec of the colony Los Insurgentes, in the municipality of Iguala, in possession of a rifle and another short weapon.

More than a million judicial cases in Guatemala pending
One million, 210 thousand 743 records with reports of robberies, rapes, frauds, thefts and murders continue pending of a judicial process in Guatemala t, according to the Integrated Case Management System of the Public Ministry (MP) on computers.
The Prosecution Section Liquidation, created by the Agreement 3-2014 to expedite the processing of one million 280 thousand 378 cases shelved and reduce the wide margin of impunity in the country, managed to take 69,635 cases to process during its first year of operations.
In that way, only 5.4 percent of neglected records were resolved, the report said.
Moreover, the staff in charge of this procedure, dismissed every day from 50 to 75 cases, for an average of up to 400 files a week, even checked by the judges, said the head of the body, Bonnie Avila, quoted by the newspaper Siglo 21.
It also became known that most of the complaints postponed municipal, departmental and national authorities, had not been resolved by the loss of documents in previous years.

Dance Mission Theater and CubaCaribe Present

Compiled by the El Reportero’s staff

Explosión Cubana: Una Noche Tropical, a Holiday Extravaganza!
A new holiday tradition. Come and rejoice renewed relations between Cuba and the US! In the spirit of Havana’s celebrated Tropicana nightclub, CubaCaribe and Dance Mission Theater present a sizzling evening of Cuban cabaret featuring Alayo Dance Company and guests, complete with dinner and a show.
With artistic direction by Ramon Ramos Alayo and a live ten-piece Cuban orquestra directed by Patricio Angulo, this dance extravaganza takes its audience on a journey celebrating the evolution of Cuban dance and music from Folkloric to Popular to Modern (and everything in between).
At the Mission Theater Dance, at 3316 24th St, San Francisco, Nov. 20 – Dec. 5. Friday-Saturday 7:30 p.m. (seating at 7:15 p.m.), Sunday 6:30 p.m. (seating at 6:15 p.m.).

Oakland Public Library offers résumé help and other veterans assistance programs  
Oakland, CA – With Veterans’ Day fast approaching, the Oakland Public Library is pleased to announce several programs offered to help veterans. On Friday, November 20, from 2 to 3:30 pm, volunteers from the Veterans Resource Center and a representative from Swords to Ploughshares will be available for a Veterans’ Resume Workshop at the Main Library, 125 14th Street. This reflects an ongoing effort at the Library to address veterans’ issues.
In 2014, the Oakland Public Library won funding and support to participate in California Humanities’ group reading and discussion program on the theme of the veteran experience. In 2015, the library won additional funding to open a Veterans Resource Center, staffed by trained volunteers.
The Veterans Resource Center at OPL helps veterans and/or their families learn about the benefits for education, health, employment, housing, and more.  It is staffed by trained volunteers on Tuesdays from 2:30 to 4:30 p.m., and Saturdays from 3 to 5 pm, and Sundays from 1 to 3 pm; at other times, reference librarians are also trained to assist veterans.

Culinary student graduation & recognition & toy drive
The Mexican Museum and the Hispanic Chambers of Commerce of San Francisco hosts the graduation celebration and recognition for students in local nonprofit program. It is combined with a Toy Drive to benefit the children of the Mission Neighborhood Health Center.
The Center for the Economic Independence of Women and Youth will be holding its student graduation on December 5th. Come celebrate, recognize, see and taste the edible art of artistic gelatins, cakes, and other delicious items made by graduating pastry program students. The graduates are also being recognized by the Hispanic Chambers of Commerce of San Francisco and assemblyman David Chiu. The graduates are starting their own business and are all survivors of domestic violence.
Other supporting organizations are Unidad Nicaragüense de Amistad (UNA), Operation Helping People (OHP), Two Countries One Heart-Dos Países Un Corazón, (TCOH), and several others.
Find out more about this innovative nonprofit program serving the Bay Area and beyond.
The Mexican Museum of San Francisco, 2 Marina Street @ Fort Mason, San Francisco, Dec. 5, from 5 p.m. – 7 p.m.

Colombian vallenato declared mankind’s cultural patrimony

by the El Reportero’s

From the Colombian Caribbean, Colombia’’s vallenato now has the condition of Cultural Patrimony for Mankind, because of a proposal of the United Nations Education, Science and Culture Organization (UNESCO).
The declaration stated that certain urgent measures would be immediately adopted, for security.
Each time, street spaces to celebrate are less used, so vallenato is in danger to disappear.
UNESCO came to such a conclussion after associating this problem to the Colombian internal armed conflict.
In addition, a new variant is marginalizing the traditional genre, warned the institution.
Such a rhythm emerged from the fusion of native cultural expressions in the north, including the songs of the Great Magdalena cowboys, songs of African slaves and the dance forms of indigenous peoples residing in the Sierra Nevada de Santa Marta.
There is also a peek at those melodies elements of Spanish poetry and the use of instruments of European origin.
Unesco has just declared our vallenato Heritage Intangible Heritage, an action to preserve forever, wrote President Juan Manuel Santos on Tuesday on his Twitter account.
Vallenato was born in a vast area framed by the Magdalena, Cesar and Ranchería rivers, the Caribbean Sea ., the Sierra Nevada de Santa Marta and the foothills of the Serrania de Perija, over 200 years ago.
According to historical notes is present since ancient times in the savanna region of Bolivar, Sucre and Córdoba departments; played with the diatonic accordion, guacharaca and box.
Its popularity allowed all regions of the country and neighboring countries like Panama, Venezuela, Ecuador, Mexico and Argentina are extended.
Vallenato is a tool that strengthens the social fabric of Colombian Caribbean and allowed for many years through their disclosure letters, experiences and anecdotes of people, experts stressed the Ministry of Culture.
In 2010 Marimba music and traditional chants Pacific South reached the same recognition, supported by UNESCO.

Jamaica is Urge to Create Hall of Fame of Reggae
Recognized Jamaican personalities urged today the government to support the creation of a Reggae Hall of Fame in order to reassess this rhythm and generate more income for the country’’s economy.
Lincoln Junior, Junior Lincoln, finance director of the Jamaica Reggae Industry Association (JaRIA) told reporters that this initiative would bring many benefits to the island and help strengthen its image in the international arena.

Marc Anthony, Enrique Iglesias win 2015 Cuban Lucas Award
“La gozadera,” by Puerto Rican singer, Marc Anthony, and Cuban band, Gente de Zona, won here two Lucas awards, for the best video clip of the year in Cuba, during a gala in which Spanish singer Enrique Iglesias was also awarded.
The Puerto Rican-Cuban mix swept this edition’s competition to take home the most popular award and that to the better reggaeton and timbaton video music for a clip that has gone around the world, in which Latin America is honored.
Happy to be awarded in his country, singer Randy Malcom, representing Gente de Zona, gave infinite thanks for the support of his countrymen. We are a great team, this award is for you, never leave your dreams behind that everything can be, he said excited at an overflowing Karl Marx Theater, with capacity of about 5,000 people.
The most international filmmaker of the island, Alejandro Pérez, director of this video, also expressed his delight after winning in several categories and with several proposals, among them the video clip “Let me be your lover” in the category of pop, by Enrique Iglesias and Pitbull.

It’s 1992 all over again: Agenda 2030 threatens our way of life

NOTE FROM THE EDITOR:

Dear readers:

Many of you might have heard in the media expressions as mass mind control, population control, climate action, reduction of inequality within and among countries, etc. But do you know who and what is really behind those words and slogans and what they mean for the people and freedom in the world?
The following article, authored by Nancy Thorner and Bonnie O’Neil, is a must read. It brings to us precise and well-researched information of what the Agenda 2030 of the United Nations – through globalism – is all about. And I suggest that you all read it carefully as we all must stand up and take action to stop it, before is too late. PART 1 of 2.

by Nancy Thorner and Bonnie O’Neil
Somewhat Reasonable

If it were possible to have a time machine traveling back to 1992 to visit the “United Nation’s Earth Submit” in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, we would repeatedly hear the phrase “Sustainable Living” drilled into the minds of the 178 nations and state officials that attended, including President George H. Bush. The purpose of the “Earth Summit” was to warn World leaders that the Earth could no longer sustain the consumptive appetite of the United States of America. The solution was a plan for “Sustainable Development” that would be implemented throughout the World.
George H. Bush not only bought into the fear-factor rhetoric, but also praised the Earth Summit, that soon became known as U.N. Agenda 21. Thereafter our government partnered with the U.N. and began a quiet, carefully crafted plan to implement this U.N. plan into numerous agencies of our government in all states, and thus began what has become the most intrusive agenda in our history. Governing agencies, such as the EPA, began covertly injecting new laws and regulations into our lives, making changes that affect every citizen.
Today, twenty-three years later, Agenda 21 mandates are firmly entrenched and its tentacles can be seen within all levels of government. Agenda 21 has even been inserted into most classrooms throughout America, largely due to liberal college professors and the controversial Common Core curriculum in grades K through 12.
Agenda 2030 Supersedes Agenda 21
Promoters of Agenda 21 seem to have had success, as we see facets of influence in all our lives. But apparently those who strongly support and sponsor Agenda 21 had hoped for better results, disappointment becoming apparent when the United Nations arranged a massive new gathering of members for the purpose of rebooting Agenda 21. On september 25 – 27, 2015, thousands of leaders from all over the World met in New York City to present a new fifteen-year plan entitled “Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.” In spite of the name change, Agenda 2030 has basically the same plan and goals of Agenda 21. It only going deeper with its intentions to change the planet to United Nations’ specifications. It’s Agenda 21 on steroids!
While Agenda 21 focused mainly on the environment, Agenda 2030 encompasses far more and is touted to be the “new universal agenda” for humanity. It professes to be an altruistic plan that will benefit future generations. The reality, however, is that U.N. Agenda 2030 will rob individuals of most every freedom through its imposed mandates.
American citizens need to wake up to the fact that their American sovereignty is being challenged by the United Nations. Liberties have been lost since our government bought into U.N. Agenda 21 in 1992. The adoption of Agenda 2030 by U.N. world members on Friday, Sept. 26, will bring further erosion of liberties Americans hold dear. The influential power brokers behind this agenda will attempt to persuade us that their plan is necessary to save the planet. Be warned, the end result will be that the planet will be governed much like that of North Korea. Every aspect of our lives will be dictated by those in power over us.
One-World Government to Save the Earth, Eliminate Poverty, and Promote Equality
Why are our leaders supporting these U.N. Agendas? Consider that there are those who will profit by them. They will finance advertisements promoting their plans, as was reported by Fox.com in May of this year. Citizens have already been inundated with warnings of Climate Change which demand radical lifestyles essential to save the Earth, such as high-rise apartment living, rather than individual homes. The media gives the U.N. Agenda enormous publicity, but rarely prints information from leading scientists that dispute the claims.
Be forewarned, the promoters of U.N. Agenda 2030 will soon release subtle, very clever advertisements that will attempt to form or reform our thinking on the key issues of Agenda 2030. The ads will be designed to manipulate our thinking and opinions. We will hear of plans to end poverty around the World and create universal peace. U.N. leaders hope that you will be lured into handing over all your rights and freedoms for the betterment of everyone, so we are no longer bound by our time- honored Constitution.
For those Americans who love their country, this is a wake-up call. U.N. Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, dreams of a world of peace and dignity for all, but the reality is far from this seemingly altruistic ideal. We must sound the alarm that Agenda 2030 guarantees a future in which individual freedom is forfeited to an all-powerful One-World government controlled by tyrannical mandates. We must deter those who are trying to change our amazing government that has allowed the United States to grow, prosper, and become the envy of the World. To accomplish this we must be vigilant to stop the planned changes happening at every level of government.

Pesticides banned more than 40 years ago still causing abnormalities and miscarriages

by Julie Wilson

The life-altering side effects caused by endocrine mimickers can no longer be ignored. Mounting evidence continues to emerge, blaming chemical exposure for a diverse array of health problems, including cancer, infertility, birth defects, neurological disorders, diabetes and many others.
A new study joins an extensive collection of research linking sperm abnormalities to organochlorine chemicals, such as DDE and PCBs – both of which are known hormone mimickers, chemicals found in everyday products that impersonate our body’s endocrine system, resulting in many of the chronic illnesses and diseases plaguing Americans today.
Endocrine disruptors are found in cosmetics, shampoos and conditioners, laundry detergents, metal can linings, cleaning products, plastics, flame retardants, pesticides and more.
Organochlorine chemicals once again linked to reproductive disorders
Published in the journal Environmental Health Perspectives, the study found that hormone-disrupting chemicals are responsible for increasing the risk of sperm aneuploidy in males, which, according to the Cornucopia Institute, typically results in an abnormal number of X or Y chromosomes in sperm.
Research shows sperm aneuploidy negatively impacts pregnancy rates, often causing at least 50 percent of recurrent pregnancy losses.
Scientists reached their conclusions after observing the blood serum and sperm quality of 90 men, aged 22-44, from the Faroe Islands, a self-governing group of islands controlled by Denmark.
The Cornucopia Institute, a non-profit organization dedicated to supporting and promoting sustainable and organic agriculture reports:
Faroe islanders consume a high seafood diet that often consists of pilot whale, integral historically as a food source for the Faroese people. However, this practice exposes the Faroese to higher than average levels of environmental contaminants. For the study, data on umbilical cord blood and blood serum at age 14 was available for 40 of the participants, allowing a [sic] researchers to measure lifetime impacts.
Scientists found that concentrations of DDE and PCBs in participants are correlated with increased rates of sperm aneuploidy. The levels of organochlorine chemicals in the body at age 14 were especially associated with increased rates of aneuploidy in adult age; however, chemical levels in umbilical cord blood had no significant correlation with adult aneuploidy.
Chemical exposure in womb may cause health problems in adulthood
“Exposure to these chemicals in adolescence may lead to reproductive problems years later,” said the study’s lead author, Melissa Perry, ScD, MHS, who is also chair of the Environmental and Occupational Health program at George Washington University.
Unfortunately, this is not the first time we’re learning that early exposure to endocrine disruptors can cause serious health issues later on in life. The Endocrine Society recently announced that the health complications caused by hormone mimickers sometimes originate in the early stages of fetal development, but don’t arise until adulthood.
The Endocrine Society also compared the harm caused by hormone disruptors to that of diabetes and obesity – the biggest public health threats of the 21st century.
Industrial chemicals banned more than 40 years ago are still hurting Americans
What’s even more disturbing about the researchers’ latest findings is that the chemicals linked to reproductive failure were banned more than four decades ago.
DDE (dichlorodiphenyldicholorethylene), the breakdown chemical of DDT (dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane), a pesticide that was banned in 1972, is still very much present in nature due to its resistance to environmental degradation. DDT was used as an agricultural pesticide and to exterminate mosquitoes.
PCBs (polychlorinated biphenyls), a group of manufactured organic chemicals that exist as tasteless and odorless oily liquids or solids, were widely used as insulation material, coolants and lubricants in transformers, capacitors and other electric equipment. The manufacturing of PCBs was halted in 1977 for the same reason as DDE, because of its tendency to build up in the environment.
Because they are not broken down through chemical, biological or photolytic processes, persistent organic pollutants (POPs) remain in nature long-term, bioaccumulating in animals as they move up the food chain from prey to predator – which is likely why some Faroese islanders (who often feast on whale) tested positive for high concentrations of organochlorine chemicals.
“DDT and other pesticides like it continue to linger in our environment and contaminate our food,” said Dr. Perry. Another study published this year found that DDT may be reemerging as a result of soil erosion in farm fields, but a large source of exposure is through meat consumption, says Cornucopia.
“Most people can reduce their exposure to PCBs and DDT by cutting back on foods that are high in animal fats and choosing fish wisely,” added. Dr. Perry. Natural News.

Enough of aid – let’s talk about reparations

Debate around reparations is threatening because it upends the usual narrative of development. The impact of colonialism cannot be ignored

by Jason Hickel

Colonialism is one of those things you’re not supposed to discuss in polite company – at least not north of the Mediterranean. Most people feel uncomfortable about it, and would rather pretend it didn’t happen.
In fact, that appears to be the official position. In the mainstream narrative of international development peddled by institutions from the World Bank to the UK’s Department of International Development, the history of colonialism is routinely erased. According to the official story, developing countries are poor because of their own internal problems, while western countries are rich because they worked hard, and upheld the right values and policies. And because the west happens to be further ahead, its countries generously reach out across the chasm to give “aid” to the rest – just a little something to help them along.
If colonialism is ever acknowledged, it’s to say that it was not a crime, but rather a benefit to the colonized – a leg up the development ladder.
But the historical record tells a very different story, and that opens up difficult questions about another topic that Europeans prefer to avoid: reparations. No matter how much they try, however, this topic resurfaces over and over again.

Recently, after a debate at the Oxford Union, Indian MP Shashi Tharoor’s powerful case for reparations went viral, attracting more than 3 million views on YouTube. Clearly the issue is hitting a nerve.
The reparations debate is threatening because it completely upends the usual narrative of development. It suggests that poverty in the global south is not a natural phenomenon, but has been actively created. And it casts western countries in the role not of benefactors, but of plunderers.
When it comes to the colonial legacy, some of the facts are almost too shocking to comprehend. When Europeans arrived in what is now Latin America in 1492, the region may have been inhabited by between 50 million and 100 million indigenous people. By the mid 1600s, their population was slashed to about 3.5 million. The vast majority succumbed to foreign disease and many were slaughtered, died of slavery or starved to death after being kicked off their land. It was like the holocaust seven times over.
What were the Europeans after? Silver was a big part of it. Between 1503 and 1660, 16m kilograms of silver were shipped to Europe, amounting to three times the total European reserves of the metal. By the early 1800s, a total of 100m kg of silver had been drained from the veins of Latin America and pumped into the European economy, providing much of the capital for the industrial revolution. To get a sense for the scale of this wealth, consider this thought experiment: if 100m kg of silver was invested in 1800 at 5 percent interest – the historical average – it would amount to £110trn ($165trn) today. An unimaginable sum.
Europeans slaked their need for labor in the colonies – in the mines and on the plantations – not only by enslaving indigenous Americans but also by shipping slaves across the Atlantic from Africa. Up to 15 million of them. In the North American colonies alone, Europeans extracted an estimated 222,505,049 hours of forced labor from African slaves between 1619 and 1865. Valued at the US minimum wage, with a modest rate of interest, that’s worth $97trn – more than the entire global GDP.
Right now, 14 Caribbean nations are in the process of suing Britain for slavery reparations. They point out that when Britain abolished slavery in 1834 it compensated not the slaves but rather the owners of slaves, to the tune of £20m, the equivalent of £200bn today. Perhaps they will demand reparations equivalent to this figure, but it is conservative: it reflects only the price of the slaves, and tells us nothing of the total value they produced during their lifetimes, nor of the trauma they endured, nor of the hundreds of thousands of slaves who worked and died during the centuries before 1834.
These numbers tell only a small part of the story, but they do help us imagine the scale of the value that flowed from the Americas and Africa into European coffers after 1492.
Then there is India. When the British seized control of India, they completely reorganized the agricultural system, destroying traditional subsistence practices to make way for cash crops for export to Europe. As a result of British interventions, up to 29 million Indians died of famine during the last few decades of the 19th century in what historian Mike Davis calls the “late Victorian holocaust”. Laid head to foot, their corpses would stretch the length of England 85 times over. And this happened while India was exporting an unprecedented amount of food, up to 10m tons per year.
British colonizers also set out to transform India into a captive market for British goods. To do that, they had to destroy India’s impressive indigenous industries. Before the British arrived, India commanded 27 percent of the world economy, according to economist Angus Maddison. By the time they left, India’s share had been cut to just 3 percent. The same thing happened to China. After the Opium Wars, when Britain invaded China and forced open its borders to British goods on unequal terms, China’s share of the world economy dwindled from 35 percent to an all-time low of 7 percent.
Meanwhile, Europeans increased their share of global GDP from 20 percent to 60 percent during the colonial period. Europe didn’t develop the colonies. The colonies developed Europe.
And we haven’t even begun to touch the scramble for Africa. In the Congo, to cite just one brief example, as historian Adam Hochschild recounts in his haunting book King Leopold’s Ghost, Belgium’s lust for ivory and rubber killed some 10 million Congolese – roughly half the country’s population. The wealth gleaned from that plunder was siphoned back to Belgium to fund beautiful stately architecture and impressive public works, including arches and parks and railway stations – all the markers of development that adorn Brussels today, the bejewelled headquarters of the European Union.
It will take 100 years for the world’s poorest people to earn $1.25 a day
We could go on. It is tempting to see this as just a list of crimes, but it is much more than that. These snippets hint at the contours of a world economic system that was designed over hundreds of years to enrich a small portion of humanity at the expense of the vast majority.
This history makes the narrative of international development seem a bit absurd, and even outright false. Frankie Boyle got it right: “Even our charity is essentially patronizing. Give a man a fish and he can eat for a day. Give him a fishing rod and he can feed himself. Alternatively, don’t poison the fishing waters, abduct his great-grandparents into slavery, then turn up 400 years later on your gap year talking a lot of shite about fish.”
We can’t put a price on the suffering wrought by colonialism. And there is not enough money in the world to compensate for the damage it inflicted. We can, however, stop talking about charity, and instead acknowledge the debt that the west owes to the rest of the world. Even more importantly, we can work to quash the colonial instinct whenever it rears its ugly head, as it is doing right now in the form of land grabs, illicit financial extraction, and unfair trade deals.
Shashi Tharoor argued for a reparations payment of only £1 – a token acknowledgement of historical fact. That might not do much to assuage the continued suffering of those whose countries have been ravaged by the colonial encounter. But at least it would set the story straight, and put us on a path towards rebalancing the global economy.
Join our community of development professionals and humanitarians. Follow @GuardianGDP on Twitter.

World War III closer as Russia accuses Turkey of being ‘secret allies’ with ISIS

by Michael Snyder
Economic Collapse
Analysis

Are Russia and Turkey on the verge of going to war?
In remarks that were almost entirely ignored by the western media, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov accused the Turkish government of being “secret allies” with ISIS on Friday. And on Monday, the Russians announced that they would be attempting to seal the border between Syria and Turkey, and we also learned that the Russians have been rushing heavy artillery units into Syria. As tensions between Russia and Turkey continue to escalate, could we be in danger of seeing World War III erupt in the Middle East?
The Russians have clearly become convinced that Turkey is at the core of the problems in Syria, and that is why the Russians now plan to completely seal Syria’s border with Turkey. Lavrov seems to think that this will represent a giant step toward defeating terror groups such as ISIS…
And the Russians are right about this. ISIS militants use Turkey as a home base, and it has been documented that Turkey has been “training ISIS militants, funneling weapons to them, buying their oil, and tending to their wounded in Turkish hospitals.”
It was already common knowledge that Turkey was doing all of these things, but now the Russian government is publicly accusing the Turkish government of being “secret allies” with ISIS. When Lavrov chose to use these words on Friday, he knew exactly what he was saying…
“We think it highly cynical when some of the countries speak about their commitment to the corresponding United Nations Security Council resolutions and declare themselves members of anti-terrorist coalitions but in reality are playing a game where terrorists are allocated the role of secret allies,” Lavrov stressed. “We have more and more questions about Ankara’s real plans and the degree of its readiness to exterminate terrorism, in particular in Syria, and its commitment to the normalization of the situation in Syria.”
So why would Turkey want to be allies with ISIS?
Well, first of all the Turkish government hates the Assad regime in Syria and would love to see it eliminated.
Secondly, ISIS has been selling hundreds of millions of dollars worth of stolen oil in Turkey, and it has been alleged that the Turkish president’s own family is involved.
This was all supposed to be on the down low, but now the Russians are extremely angry and they are airing this dirty laundry for all the world to see. On Monday, Vladimir Putin said that his government had “received additional information” that ISIS is shipping oil to Turkey on an “industrial scale”… Recep Erdogan said he will resign if this is confirmed.
Moscow has grounds to suspect that the Su-24 was downed by Turkish jets on November 24 to secure illegal oil deliveries from Syria to Turkey, he said speaking on the sidelines of the climate change summit in Paris on Monday.
And of course it isn’t just the Russians that are making these claims.
Mowaffak al Rubaie is a former member of the Iraqi Governing Council, and he says that sales of ISIS oil in Turkey have amounted to approximately 100 million dollars a month… “This is Iraqi oil and Syrian oil, carried by trucks from Iraq, from Syria through the borders to Turkey and sold … [at] less than 50 percent of the international oil price,” Mowaffak al Rubaie said in an interview with RT.
“Now this either get consumed inside, the crude is refined on Turkish territory by the Turkish refineries, and sold in the Turkish market. Or it goes to Jihan and then in the pipelines from Jihan to the Mediterranean and sold to the international market.”
“Money and dollars generated by selling Iraqi and Syrian oil on the Turkish black market is like the oxygen supply to ISIS and its operation,” he added. “Once you cut the oxygen then ISIS will suffocate.”
You can’t sell 100 million dollars of stolen oil a month without the U.S. government knowing about it.
That means that Barack Obama has been fully aware of what has been going on, and he hasn’t told the American people the truth.
One of the reasons for his silence could be the fact that the president of Turkey’s own son has been involved. Just check out what Syrian Information Minister Omran al-Zoubi said just the other day…
“All of the oil was delivered to a company that belongs to the son of Recep [Tayyip] Erdogan. This is why Turkey became anxious when Russia began delivering airstrikes against the IS infrastructure and destroyed more than 500 trucks with oil already. This really got on Erdogan and his company’s nerves. They’re importing not only oil, but wheat and historic artefacts as well.”
Previously, the Russians had promised not to commit ground forces in Syria, but now that appears to be changing.
According to Debka, the Russians have already deployed three battalions of 2S19 Msta-S self-propelled howitzers at this point… This heavy artillery system, capable of firing 152mm bombs at a rapid pace, is a veteran of Russia’s former campaigns against Islamic terrorist groups, especially in the Russian war against Islamic rebels in Chechnya in the 1990s.
Another heavy weapons system that Russia brought to Syria in recent days is the TOS-1 220mm multiple rocket launcher. This system, which is mounted on the chassis of a T-72 tank, has been deployed near the embattled Syrian cities of Hama and Homs.
With each passing day, we seem to be inching ever closer to the start of World War III.
And it is important to keep in mind that if war does break out, Turkey is a member of NATO, and so the U.S. would be obligated by treaty to help defend the Turks.
So let’s keep a close eye on what is happening in the Middle East, because it could end up having tremendous implications for all of us.

Caravan claims for missing C.A. children in Mexico

by the El Reportero’s wire services

The 11th Caravan of Mothers of Migrants “We need all,” which calls for missing children that cross into Mexico, moves today from the country’s southern region.
These are women from Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, who arrived in here carrying photographs of their children hung on the chest.
They were received by Brother Tomás González Castillo, coordinator of “La 72” migrant shelter, located in the municipal seat of Tenosique, bordering Guatemala, in the southeastern state of Tabasco.
The caravan consists of 43 people, mostly mothers who come in search of their children, who hoped to reach illegally the United States, and it is expected they were killed on Mexican soil.
Relatives of those missing were presented in the offices of the National Institute of Migration, located in the city of Tenosique, first place of their trip to Mexico, La Jornada newspaper reported.
In that city, the members of the caravan submitted documents to process their stay in this country, where they aim to claim for their relatives in several states of the Mexican nation.

AIDS affecting Mexican adolescents
The AIDS epidemics each time affecting more Latin American people, is also affecting Mexican adolescents, alerted an expert from the Mexican government in occassion of commemorating the World Fighting Day against AIDS.
One Third of Honduran HIV Patients without Antiretroviral Therapy
Thirty-four percent of the total of registered cases, corresponds to people from 15 to 29 years old, added expert Patricia Uribe, director of the Center of Aids Control and Prevention of Mexico (Censida), who stated that these adolescents did not live on the years in which the illness was in its rise, so it is more difficult for them to learn about the risk to receive the infection.
They are the most vulnerable to infection, accounting for 20 percent of AIDS cases in Mexico, while 37 percent of new infections are reported each year are 15 to 29 years.
Meanwhile, Javier Dominguez, in charge of the office of the Population Fund United Nations in Mexico, said that this sector is more disadvantaged against HIV / AIDS for reasons such as violence and limited access to health services.
The most suffering people from this evil come from places where poverty and marginalization as is the case of Chiapas, with 42 percent of AIDS cases in females and Guerrero (35.6), Veracruz (35, 4), Oaxaca (33.4) and Tabasco (32.3).
Also the epidemic of HIV/AIDS is growing among Mexican women and is at high risk for dozens of newborns, said Patricia Volkow, an expert from the Faculty of Medicine of the National Autonomous University of Mexico.
She also referred to that in 2014 more than 100 children were born infected with this virus and in the course of 2015 90 cases were recorded.
The Agency for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean (Opanal) held here the 24th regular session of its General Conference, said sources today.
The Mexican Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a communique that the forum was attended by representatives of African countries, observer countries and representatives of international organizations and civil society.
During the conference, Brazil, Guatemala and Peru were chosen as new members of the Opanal Council, while Chile and Mexico were re-elected for four more years in the Committee on Contributions and Administrative and Budgetary Matters (CCAAP).
It also agreed to begin preparations for the celebration of the 50 years of the Treaty of Tlatelolco, to be held in this city on Feb. 14, 2017.
Opanal was established by the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean, known as the Treaty of Tlatelolco, in 1967.

Dance Mission Theater and CubaCaribe Present

Compiled by the El Reportero’s staff

Explosión Cubana: Una Noche Tropical, a Holiday Extravaganza!
A new holiday tradition. Come and rejoice renewed relations between Cuba and the US! In the spirit of Havana’s celebrated Tropicana nightclub, CubaCaribe and Dance Mission Theater present a sizzling evening of Cuban cabaret featuring Alayo Dance Company and guests, complete with dinner and a show.
With artistic direction by Ramon Ramos Alayo and a live ten-piece Cuban orquestra directed by Patricio Angulo, this dance extravaganza takes its audience on a journey celebrating the evolution of Cuban dance and music from Folkloric to Popular to Modern (and everything in between).
At the Mission Theater Dance, at 3316 24th St, San Francisco, Nov. 20 – Dec. 5. Friday-Saturday 7:30 p.m. (seating at 7:15 p.m.), Sunday 6:30 p.m. (seating at 6:15 p.m.

 

Oakland Public Library offers résumé help and other veterans assistance programs
Oakland, CA – With Veterans’ Day fast approaching, the Oakland Public Library is pleased to announce several programs offered to help veterans. On Friday, November 20, from 2 to 3:30 pm, volunteers from the Veterans Resource Center and a representative from Swords to Ploughshares will be available for a Veterans’ Resume Workshop at the Main Library, 125 14th Street. This reflects an ongoing effort at the Library to address veterans’ issues.
In 2014, the Oakland Public Library won funding and support to participate in California Humanities’ group reading and discussion program on the theme of the veteran experience. In 2015, the library won additional funding to open a Veterans Resource Center, staffed by trained volunteers.
The Veterans Resource Center at OPL helps veterans and/or their families learn about the benefits for education, health, employment, housing, and more.  It is staffed by trained volunteers on Tuesdays from 2:30 to 4:30 p.m., and Saturdays from 3 to 5 pm, and Sundays from 1 to 3 pm; at other times, reference librarians are also trained to assist veterans.

Culinary student graduation & recognition & toy drive
The Mexican Museum and the Hispanic Chambers of Commerce of San Francisco hosts the graduation celebration and recognition for students in local nonprofit program. It is combined with a Toy Drive to benefit the children of the Mission Neighborhood Health Center.
The Center for the Economic Independence of Women and Youth will be holding its student graduation on December 5th. Come celebrate, recognize, see and taste the edible art of artistic gelatins, cakes, and other delicious items made by graduating pastry program students. The graduates are also being recognized by the Hispanic Chambers of Commerce of San Francisco and assemblyman David Chiu. The graduates are starting their own business and are all survivors of domestic violence.
Other supporting organizations are Unidad Nicaragüense de Amistad (UNA), Operation Helping People (OHP), Two Countries One Heart-Dos Países Un Corazón, (TCOH), and several others.
Find out more about this innovative nonprofit program serving the Bay Area and beyond.
The Mexican Museum of San Francisco, 2 Marina Street @ Fort Mason, San Francisco, Dec. 5, from 5 p.m. – 7 p.m.